A Risk Reading Beside Every Price

Beside every price sits a Risk Outlook reading: how much movement to expect from that asset, refreshed hourly.

The number is the way in. Click it and you get the full story on that asset: what the number means for the week ahead, how it compares with the recent past, and where it sits against the asset's own history.

Markets · Prices · NewsLive
NamePrice24h %7d %Market capRisk outlook
BTC$65,146.24▼ 0.66%▲ 1.91%$1.31T 28.91% Very high▸

What 28.91% Actually Means

Markets · Prices · NewsLive

BTC · Risk Outlook

How much movement to expect, independent of direction
Powered by The Risk Protocol
Expected volatility · next 7 days
28.91% Very high
Annualized, so it compares directly across assets and time frames.
Very lowLowMediumHighVery high
Where this sits against BTC's own past year, split into fifths.
What that means in practice
A typical day moves±1.5%
A typical week moves±4.0%
On $10,000 of BTC, a typical week is±$400
"Typical" means about two weeks in three. Bigger weeks happen more often in crypto than a bell curve suggests.
Past vs forecast · annualized volatility
1 day7 days30 days
Past13.5% Very low26.4% High26.9% Very high
Forecast26.8% Medium28.9% Very high30.7% Very high
Where volatility has been and where the models expect it to go, each number labelled against BTC’s own past year.
The read: BTC's past week was already rougher than most of its past year, and the models expect the next one to be rougher still. The month ahead reads Very high—for BTC and for every other asset on the board.
Risk data by The Risk Protocol · Updated hourly · 03/08/2026 06:00 UTC

Price Says Where It Is. Volatility Says What It Might Do Next.

Price tells you where your asset is. It does not tell you whether the week ahead is likely to be calm or violent—and that is what decides how rough a ride your holdings are in for.

The forecast answers that question, and it moves even when price does not: two assets can both be flat today while one is expected to move 40% this month and the other barely at all.

The movement has already started. Nine of the 18 assets on the board moved more this past week than in most weeks of their own past year, and the models expect more: all 18 carry a Very high forecast for the month ahead.

Reading the Two Together

Forecast calm
Forecast hot
Week calm
Quiet Now, Quiet AheadA genuinely calm stretch. Movement is low and expected to stay low.
Quiet Now, Moves AheadA calm that is not expected to last. The models see bigger moves coming.
Week hot
Rough Now, Calming AheadA rough patch the models expect to fade.
Rough Now, Rough AheadTodayMovement is high and expected to stay high. The riskiest square on this table.

Good Volatility vs Bad Volatility

Total volatility counts every move, up and down, as one number. Splitting it shows which side is moving the market: rallies (good volatility) or falls (bad volatility).

Exhibit 1 · Good vs Bad Volatility · 7-Day Realized
Live data from the dashboard—pick any covered asset
Each gauge is placed against that asset's own past year, split into fifths.
Exhibit 2 · Volatility Spread Over Time · Last 30 Days
Upside volatility minus downside volatility, in percentage points. Above zero, the rallies are the bigger moves; below zero, the falls are.
−5pp+5pp0turned 28 JulToday −4.1ppRALLIES DRIVINGFALLS DRIVING4 Jultoday
The month belonged to the rallies, until this week.